St. Johann vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
STJ
1 - 4
WAT
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STJ
0 - 0
PIN
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 0
STJ
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
STJ
2 - 0
KUF
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 1
FCH
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 0
PIN
49%
22%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 2
HAR
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
FCH
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
KUF
4 - 1
HAR
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 2
SEE
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |