St George Willawong vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 5
GEO
30%
23%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BRK
0 - 4
GEO
11%
15%
74%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GEO
4 - 1
STO
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
GEO
0 - 3
ACA
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GEO
3 - 3
ALB
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
BAY
14%
18%
69%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 2
UNI
54%
20%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 3
ALB
7%
14%
79%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TLA
7 - 1
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
MGH
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |