St George Willawong vs The Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GEO
12 - 1
SPR
84%
10%
5%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
GEO
3 - 4
NPI
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
GEO
10%
16%
75%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | -2 |
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 0
GAP
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 0
GAP
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 0
GAP
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
GAP
5 - 0
PIN
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 6
GAP
67%
18%
16%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |