St George Willawong vs North Pine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
GEO
10%
16%
75%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
North Pine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NPI
3 - 2
QUE
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HPH
7 - 0
NPI
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NPI
1 - 5
ROC
12%
15%
73%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MIT
3 - 1
NPI
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
NPI
33%
21%
47%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |