St George Willawong vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TLA
3 - 2
GEO
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GEO
4 - 3
MGH
90%
7%
3%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 2
GEO
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
GEO
2 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TOO
3 - 4
GEO
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ALB
5 - 1
BAY
74%
14%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ALB
7 - 0
BRK
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 2
GEO
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 3
ALB
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ALB
3 - 2
TOO
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |