St. George.s Colts vs St. Davids analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PHC
6 - 2
STG
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
STG
0 - 3
ROB
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SOM
4 - 1
STG
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 3
STG
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
DEV
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Davids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STD
2 - 0
BOU
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
STD
0 - 4
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEV
4 - 1
STD
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
STD
0 - 2
HOR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
STD
1 - 1
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |