St. George.s Colts vs Southampton Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
SOM
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NOR
4 - 1
STG
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
STG
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
STD
2 - 5
STG
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
PHC
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 4
NOR
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PHC
1 - 1
SOU
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
HOR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
BOU
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
DEV
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |