St. George.s Colts vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 2
STG
48%
22%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
XRW
1 - 2
STG
43%
22%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PHC
1 - 0
STG
68%
16%
16%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
STG
1 - 3
NOR
47%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
STG
3 - 2
XRW
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SOM
0 - 3
PHC
22%
20%
59%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SOM
1 - 1
XRW
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
YMS
2 - 2
SOM
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SOM
1 - 3
XRW
48%
21%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 1
SOM
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |