St. George.s Colts vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 0
STG
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
DEV
1 - 1
STG
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
STG
1 - 0
NOR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 8
STG
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
PHC
3 - 2
STG
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 2
HOR
35%
22%
44%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
ROB
1 - 1
SOM
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 1
DEV
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 1
NOR
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 2
SOM
39%
22%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |