St. George.s Colts vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
STG
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
STG
56%
20%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
STG
1 - 1
ROB
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +4 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
STG
0 - 2
FLA
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
STG
2 - 3
PHC
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DEV
1 - 2
SOM
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ROB
2 - 0
SOM
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2020 |
BOU
0 - 0
SOM
24%
20%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
XRW
0 - 1
SOM
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOM
0 - 1
SOU
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |