St. George.s Colts vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
STG
6 - 3
BOU
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
DEV
2 - 2
STG
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
STG
1 - 2
NOR
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 2
STG
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
STG
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SOM
6 - 2
SOU
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SOM
3 - 0
BOU
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
STD
3 - 3
SOM
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SOM
4 - 3
DEV
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SOM
1 - 4
PHC
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |