St. George.s Colts vs Somerset Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
DEV
1 - 1
STG
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
STG
1 - 4
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 1
STG
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
STG
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
STG
4 - 0
STD
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SOM
1 - 3
SOU
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
DEV
3 - 1
SOM
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HOR
5 - 1
SOM
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PHC
2 - 0
SOM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 3
SOM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |