St. George.s Colts vs PHC Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
4º
3º
45
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
STG
4 - 0
HOR
39%
21%
40%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
2 - 1
STG
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
STG
11 - 1
ROB
54%
21%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
STG
5 - 2
HAM
40%
23%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 1
STG
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DEV
2 - 1
PHC
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PHC
3 - 1
XRW
80%
11%
9%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 5
PHC
39%
21%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PHC
3 - 1
SOM
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PHC
4 - 0
ROB
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |