St. George.s Colts vs Paget CC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
STG
1 - 3
DEV
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STG
1 - 2
NOR
41%
22%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 0
STG
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
YMS
1 - 1
STG
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STG
3 - 1
SOM
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paget CC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PHC
2 - 0
PAG
70%
15%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
PAG
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SOM
1 - 2
PAG
36%
22%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAG
2 - 5
NOR
43%
21%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PAG
2 - 1
DEV
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |