St. George.s Colts vs Devonshire Cougars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
7º
3º
27
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
97% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 10 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
HOR
5 - 1
STG
53%
20%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
HAM
59%
20%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
STG
4 - 3
DEV
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
PHC
0 - 2
STG
64%
17%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
STG
1 - 2
WOL
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Devonshire Cougars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 2
DEV
45%
21%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
YMS
1 - 0
DEV
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 5
DEV
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 6
NOR
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 2
PHC
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |