St. George FC vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1986 |
BAB
1 - 1
STG
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1986 |
STG
2 - 0
BLA
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 2
STG
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1986 |
STG
3 - 1
WOL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1986 |
CAN
3 - 1
STG
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1986 |
SYD
2 - 1
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1986 |
MON
1 - 0
BAB
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1986 |
BLA
1 - 3
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 1986 |
MON
1 - 1
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1986 |
WOL
2 - 0
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |