Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-2
St. Gallen vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
STG
1 - 1
BHA
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
STG
4 - 0
SCB
90%
9%
2%
|
72 | 19 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ZUR
4 - 1
STG
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
BAZ
1 - 1
STG
4%
10%
85%
|
72 | 26 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
S08
2 - 0
IBV
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
IBV
0 - 4
S08
19%
21%
60%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
S08
4 - 1
RAN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
KRI
1 - 1
S08
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
S08
2 - 3
TRO
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |