St. Gallen vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
STG
1 - 2
YOB
24%
23%
53%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FFL
1 - 5
STG
6%
12%
82%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NEX
0 - 1
STG
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ZUR
3 - 1
STG
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STG
1 - 1
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FCE
0 - 3
FCL
8%
15%
78%
|
79 | 16 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FCL
6 - 2
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 1
THU
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GCZ
0 - 3
FCL
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 4
FCL
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |