St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FCM
1 - 4
STG
6%
12%
83%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 1
STG
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
STG
2 - 3
YOB
18%
21%
61%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 1
STG
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
CON
0 - 5
LUG
5%
11%
83%
|
76 | 15 | 61 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
SIO
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 0
LUG
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
THU
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 4
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |