St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 1
STG
21%
23%
57%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DEL
0 - 2
STG
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
STG
4 - 2
FCV
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
STG
2 - 2
GCZ
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
YOB
4 - 2
STG
74%
16%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCA
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
LUG
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
SCB
80%
15%
5%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
DEL
1 - 3
LUG
19%
23%
59%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 1
WOH
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |