St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 0
STG
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
STG
1 - 4
YOB
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
FCL
1 - 5
STG
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
STG
1 - 0
SIO
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
STG
1 - 0
FCV
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 1
GCZ
24%
22%
54%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
SIO
3 - 1
FCA
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
FCV
3 - 6
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |