St. Gallen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 4
STG
20%
22%
59%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
STG
2 - 2
FCL
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
YOB
5 - 1
STG
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
SCB
0 - 1
STG
4%
9%
88%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STG
3 - 0
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
TRA
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
SER
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 0
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 1
SIO
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |