Union St. Florian vs Wiener Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
STF
2 - 2
HAR
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
VOR
3 - 2
STF
37%
27%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
DLB
6 - 0
STF
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
STF
2 - 2
SKA
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
KAL
2 - 2
STF
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wiener Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
WIE
2 - 0
KAP
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 2
WIE
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
WIE
1 - 4
SCA
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
WIE
0 - 3
FAC
69%
19%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
SVH
0 - 1
WIE
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |