St. David's Warriors vs PHC Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. David's Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
HOR
2 - 0
STD
55%
22%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PAG
2 - 1
STD
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
STD
0 - 3
NOR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
STD
1 - 1
SOM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PHC
0 - 3
BOU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
HOR
1 - 2
PHC
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
PAG
3 - 2
PHC
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1986 |
PHC
1 - 0
LDA
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | -13 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
LDA
4 - 0
PHC
87%
10%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | -1 |