St. Davids vs St. George.s Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Davids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BOU
2 - 0
STD
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
STD
1 - 2
DEV
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 2
STD
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 0
STD
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
STD
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
PHC
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ROB
0 - 2
STG
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
SOM
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
STG
6 - 3
BOU
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
DEV
2 - 2
STG
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |