St. Davids vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Davids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PHC
1 - 1
STD
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
STD
1 - 2
ROB
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
STG
1 - 1
STD
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STD
2 - 0
BOU
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
STD
0 - 4
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SOM
4 - 3
DEV
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SOM
1 - 4
PHC
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SOM
4 - 2
NOR
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ROB
1 - 2
SOM
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
HOR
5 - 1
SOM
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |