St. Davids vs Somerset Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Davids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
BOU
2 - 3
STD
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
PHC
2 - 1
STD
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
NOR
7 - 0
STD
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
STD
2 - 1
DEV
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
DEV
7 - 1
STD
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Somerset Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
SOM
2 - 2
PHC
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SOM
2 - 2
STG
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
SOM
6 - 1
DEV
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOM
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 1
DEV
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |