St. Davids vs PHC Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Davids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ROB
2 - 0
STD
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SOM
3 - 1
STD
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
STD
5 - 1
BOU
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
STD
1 - 3
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 2
STD
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +3 |
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PHC
3 - 0
SOM
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 4
PHC
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PHC
2 - 1
NOR
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PHC
0 - 2
HOR
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 3
PHC
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |