St. Cuthbert Wanderers vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
STR
9 - 0
STC
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STC
3 - 1
FRA
17%
21%
63%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | +11 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FRA
3 - 3
STC
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
INV
5 - 0
STC
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
STC
0 - 3
WIC
19%
22%
60%
|
10 | 43 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
KEI
0 - 3
SPA
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 3
KEI
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
EDI
3 - 1
KEI
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 3
KEI
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DAL
2 - 4
KEI
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +2 |