St Blazey vs Mousehole AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
77.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Blazey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
STB
0 - 1
HEA
8%
15%
77%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
STB
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 3
STB
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
STB
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
STB
1 - 1
SHE
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 0
PAU
75%
15%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WUN
0 - 4
MAF
15%
18%
66%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
4 - 1
ILF
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 2
MAF
17%
18%
65%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 2
DOR
16%
18%
67%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |