St Augustines vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
81.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.2%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Augustines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
SAS
8 - 1
LSS
53%
21%
27%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 2
SYD
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
WOL
1 - 1
MAN
31%
23%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
5 - 3
BON
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SUT
2 - 3
MAN
26%
22%
52%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
4 - 1
PAE
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -1 |