FA Cup 1/1024
Global 2-3
St. Albans City vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 1
WOR
16%
20%
64%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
TON
1 - 2
STA
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 0
TAU
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
STA
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 0
HUN
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
ASH
3 - 3
YEL
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 3
YEL
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 2
YEL
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
YEL
5 - 2
GOR
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
STO
2 - 3
YEL
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |