Ulm U19 vs Ingolstadt U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
8º
6º
21
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SJR
1 - 4
SSU
25%
20%
55%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SSU
2 - 2
BYM
11%
14%
75%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
3 - 1
SSU
54%
20%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SSU
4 - 2
MUN
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNT
3 - 0
SSU
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ING
2 - 3
UNT
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
ING
11%
16%
73%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SJR
0 - 3
ING
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ING
2 - 4
AUG
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
MUN
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |