Ulm U19 vs 1860 München U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
54.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
8º
6º
20
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNT
3 - 0
SSU
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SSU
2 - 2
GRE
46%
22%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
SSU
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SSU
3 - 1
SJR
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 2
SSU
87%
9%
5%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
MUN
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 2
UNT
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 2
MUN
29%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
BYM
23%
19%
58%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SJR
3 - 1
MUN
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |