SSV Merten vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
9º
2º
35
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FVE
0 - 1
MER
18%
19%
64%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
H05
61%
18%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 4
MER
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
USC
65%
17%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 3
MER
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
H05
0 - 1
SCF
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPV
4 - 3
SCF
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPF
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 3
SCF
56%
21%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |