Zvezda Perm II vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
MSU
1 - 5
SZP
8%
14%
78%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SZP
0 - 5
FII
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FST
1 - 2
SZP
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SZP
3 - 0
FTM
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SKO
4 - 3
SZP
45%
22%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
TOB
1 - 2
FMA
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UNT
5 - 2
TOB
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TOB
1 - 2
FPP
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TOB
6 - 0
TOB
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
TOB
0 - 3
FCC
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |