Zvezda Perm II vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
APK
2 - 1
SZP
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
SZP
4 - 1
FCC
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
IRT
4 - 0
SZP
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
TOB
1 - 2
FMA
7%
13%
80%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
TOB
2 - 3
URL
29%
27%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -8 |
| 24 Oct. 2005 |
MMM
3 - 0
TOB
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 0
TOB
66%
21%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
TOB
0 - 3
SST
11%
20%
70%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |