Zvezda Perm II vs Ilpar Ilyinsky analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
67.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FST
1 - 2
SZP
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SZP
3 - 0
FTM
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SKO
4 - 3
SZP
45%
22%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SZP
1 - 1
FKT
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FAS
1 - 2
SZP
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ilpar Ilyinsky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FII
4 - 3
FMA
43%
21%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
UNT
1 - 4
FII
27%
21%
53%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FII
5 - 1
FPP
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TOB
2 - 2
FII
25%
20%
55%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FII
4 - 0
FCC
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |