SSh 2 VO Zvezda vs Tosno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
7º
6º
10
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSh 2 VO Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SVZ
1 - 3
SEV
10%
15%
75%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 0
SVZ
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SVZ
2 - 2
KKO
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SVZ
1 - 2
PSK
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SVZ
1 - 3
PSK
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
TOS
3 - 4
KKO
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 19 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
TOS
3 - 2
KAR
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
PSK
0 - 0
TOS
11%
21%
69%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
TOS
1 - 4
SEV
75%
16%
8%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
TOS
1 - 6
SLG
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |