Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
11º
8º
36
11º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
VCB
29%
23%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
VCB
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VCB
0 - 0
SER
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SON
0 - 3
VCB
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VCB
0 - 4
ALC
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
FOL
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ACL
2 - 0
CAL
68%
18%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAR
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
USP
1 - 1
CAL
42%
25%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 3
CAL
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |