Tivoli vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
SSD
53%
25%
23%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
MAT
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
SSD
37%
23%
41%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SSD
2 - 1
TER
46%
23%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SSS
3 - 0
SSD
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
OST
3 - 4
CSO
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CYN
1 - 2
OST
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OST
1 - 1
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
OST
0 - 1
NOC
42%
28%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 3
OST
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |