Real Calepina vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
55.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLG
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
CAL
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
UNI
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DES
1 - 0
ADR
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SON
1 - 2
DES
37%
23%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
DES
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
DES
1 - 1
VCB
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
ARC
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |