Città di Castello vs Zagarolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
SSD
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SSD
3 - 2
PIE
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 2
SSD
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 4
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
SSD
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zagarolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ZAG
3 - 1
ASD
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PON
5 - 3
ZAG
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ZAG
3 - 3
TOD
22%
23%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ORV
2 - 2
ZAG
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |