Città di Castello vs Voluntas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JMO
2 - 0
SSD
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 0
SSD
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
FCV
19%
25%
57%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 3
ACS
45%
26%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASG
0 - 3
SSD
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 4
MAS
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FCV
4 - 1
VOL
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 1
SAN
22%
26%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 2
FOL
13%
21%
66%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
VOL
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |