Città di Castello vs Voluntas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 3
SSD
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PON
5 - 1
SSD
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 0
FLA
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ORV
3 - 1
SSD
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 2
ASD
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 0
ASD
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
VOL
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 0
PIE
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PON
3 - 0
VOL
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |