Città di Castello vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PIE
4 - 1
SSD
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 0
ASD
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ARZ
4 - 0
SSD
81%
13%
5%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 0
PIA
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
SSD
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
ACS
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PON
1 - 1
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
FLA
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ORV
3 - 0
SPO
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
ASD
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |