Città di Castello vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OST
3 - 1
SSD
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 3
MON
8%
14%
78%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
0 - 0
SSD
78%
17%
6%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 1
ULD
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
SSD
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RIE
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RIE
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RIE
2 - 1
SAS
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OST
1 - 3
RIE
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIE
3 - 0
LAN
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |