Città di Castello vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
SSD
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 2
ORV
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
SSD
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 2
SSD
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 2
TOD
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PON
1 - 0
ACS
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 1
PON
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PON
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ORV
1 - 1
PON
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
ASD
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |