Città di Castello vs Pierantonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 2
SSD
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 4
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
SSD
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ORV
1 - 2
SSD
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pierantonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PIE
3 - 1
ASD
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
PIE
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |