Città di Castello vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
SSD
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 1
LAQ
14%
23%
63%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ULD
1 - 1
SSD
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 1
SPO
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SSD
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OST
1 - 0
LAN
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 3
OST
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RIE
5 - 1
OST
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OST
1 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
OST
61%
25%
14%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |